Overview
- SpaceX, which went public on June 12, completed the largest IPO on record and saw its stock surge to about $225 before falling roughly 32 percent to the mid‑$150s.
- Nasdaq confirmed that SpaceX will join the Nasdaq‑100 on July 7, a move that analysts estimate could force roughly $4.3 billion of passive buying into the stock.
- Public filings show roughly $100 billion in cash and an upsized senior unsecured bond sale of about $25 billion, but high capital spending needs for Starship and xAI mean more financing could be required.
- The company has landed large AI compute deals that annualize near $28 billion and Starlink reported strong profitability, yet overall losses, a tiny public float and rapidly rising short interest have widened valuation debate.
- Market participants warn that staged lockup expirations releasing substantial insider stock between now and October are the dominant near‑term risk and could overwhelm passive demand, affecting retirement and passive funds that are already adding the stock.