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S&P Cuts France’s Credit Rating to A+ as Fiscal and Political Risks Mount

The downgrade, issued weeks ahead of schedule, intensifies pressure on the government to secure passage of a credible 2026 budget to rein in deficits.

Overview

  • S&P lowered France’s unsolicited long- and short-term ratings to A+/A-1 and set a stable outlook, warning budget consolidation will be slower without additional measures.
  • The agency cited elevated uncertainty over public finances and severe political fragmentation, and it projects gross public debt near 121% of GDP by 2028 from about 112% at end-2024.
  • S&P advanced its review, acting shortly after the government survived censure motions and presented a 2026 budget plan targeting a lower deficit.
  • Economy Minister Roland Lescure said he took note of the decision, reaffirmed deficit goals of 5.4% in 2025 and 4.7% in 2026, and urged Parliament to approve the 2026 budget.
  • The move follows Fitch’s September cut to A+, with markets watching potential borrowing-cost pressures and a Moody’s decision due on October 24.