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Soybean Rally Holds Into Friday After TrumpXi Call, Even as Sales Lag

USDA reported lower-than-expected weekly soybean sales, underlining that any larger Chinese buying remains unconfirmed in export data.

Overview

  • Front-month soybeans jumped 25–27.5 cents on Wednesday and added roughly 18–21 cents Thursday, with early Friday gains giving way to mostly steady midday trade.
  • President Trump said he is seeking to lift China’s soybean commitment to about 20 million metric tons this season from roughly 12 million previously after speaking with President Xi.
  • USDA’s weekly report showed 436,949 metric tons of soybean sales for the week ending January 29, below trade estimates, with total commitments at 34.29 MMT, down about 20% year over year.
  • Soy strength and firmer soymeal provided spillover support to corn, which logged midweek gains as weekly corn sales reached 1.04 MMT and a 130,480 MT private sale was reported.
  • Soymeal rallied while soybean oil was mixed after Treasury’s 45Z tax credit guidance added some premium to bean oil, and cattle futures fell sharply Thursday after JBS Greeley workers authorized a strike.