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Soybean Prices Hit 15-Month High After U.S. Says China Will Resume Buying

Higher prices are reshaping Argentina’s soy industry with better margins alongside looming logistical strains.

Overview

  • Chicago futures closed around $411 per tonne, the highest in 15 months, with January trading near $416 after a two‑week rally.
  • U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said China will buy about 12 million tonnes in the coming months and 25 million tonnes annually for the next three years.
  • Chinese officials publicly signaled plans to increase U.S. farm imports but did not confirm the specific volumes or timing cited by Washington.
  • Argentina has shipped roughly 12 million tonnes of raw soybeans to China this year, about four times its recent average, reducing domestic processing.
  • Soymeal prices rose about 15% in October, improving Argentine crushing margins, while analysts warn of port bottlenecks and note Brazil’s strong harvest could limit further gains.