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South Africa Posts 0.4% Q4 Growth as Japan Upgrades and Korea Contracts

Fresh GDP prints across South Africa, Japan, Korea show uneven late‑2025 momentum.

Overview

  • Statistics South Africa reported real GDP grew 0.4% quarter on quarter in Q4 2025 and 1.1% for the year, led by finance, real estate and business services, with manufacturing down 0.6%.
  • On the expenditure side, household consumption rose 1.2% and fixed investment increased 1.3%, while exports fell 0.6% and inventories were drawn down; Stats SA said national accounts will be rebased to 2022 later this year.
  • Japan revised Q4 2025 growth up to an annualised 1.3% (0.3% q/q), driven by a 1.3% rise in capital expenditure and a 0.3% gain in private consumption, with domestic demand contributing 0.3 percentage point.
  • South Korea’s preliminary data showed GDP contracted 0.2% q/q in Q4 2025 and grew 1.0% for the year, with quarterly declines in exports, construction investment and facilities investment; per capita GNI was US$36,855.
  • Analysts highlighted downside risks from the IranMiddle East conflict and trade frictions that could lift energy costs and pressure spending and inflation trajectories.