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Solana Drops Below $116 Support as ETF Flows Turn Negative

Reduced ETF demand, with Alpenglow still off mainnet, has left Solana exposed to a deeper correction.

Overview

  • Solana fell beneath the $116 support level and was trading around $112 on Oct. 8, which raises the risk of a deeper pullback toward $110–$106 if bulls do not reclaim that zone.
  • U.S. spot Solana ETFs saw inflows collapse to about $2.4 million for the week ending Oct. 2 and recorded roughly $17.7 million of net outflows over Oct. 5–7, removing a key source of buy-side liquidity.
  • Short-term technicals weakened with 4-hour indicators and money-flow measures turning negative while the daily Supertrend remained supportive near $107, setting a recovery path that requires reclaiming $116 first.
  • The Alpenglow consensus upgrade is live on devnet and has shown Votor testnet finality near a 54 millisecond median, but the change has not been activated on mainnet and requires validator client migration before it can affect market risk.
  • Broader market moves including a drop in Bitcoin, rising U.S. Treasury yields and concentrated derivatives liquidation bands near $122–$125 could amplify price swings and increase losses for leveraged retail and institutional holders.