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SoftBank’s Son Says AI Will Need $5 Trillion a Year by 2040

He argued that if AI reaches roughly 20% of global GDP, that scale would make $5 trillion annually a modest cost and require major changes to energy and data‑center planning.

Overview

  • Masayoshi Son made the $5 trillion-per-year projection and rejected talk of an AI bubble during SoftBank’s annual corporate conference in Tokyo on July 14, 2026.
  • Son estimated AI data centers will need about 3 terawatts of power by 2040 and said gas will be used first with nuclear fusion later as the main energy source.
  • SoftBank has concentrated capital into AI by increasing stakes in OpenAI, launching data-center and battery projects, and selling its Nvidia stake to free funds for AI investments.
  • Reports differ on how much SoftBank has invested in OpenAI, with figures cited around $34.6 billion in some accounts and above $60 billion in others, leaving public exposure unclear.
  • Son’s forecast builds on his history of big, high-risk bets and raises concrete second-order questions about whether global power supply, chip production, and data-center capacity can scale to meet demand and offer adequate returns.