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SoftBank Sees Profit Fall but Beats Forecast as Intel Gains Boost Results

Using a private OpenAI stake as loan collateral creates refinancing and valuation risk for SoftBank.

Overview

  • SoftBank reported a first-quarter net income decline of 18% to ¥347.3 billion on Thursday yet beat analyst forecasts after booking a ¥1.86 trillion investment gain that was mainly driven by a roughly ¥1.33 trillion uplift on its Intel stake.
  • The company said its Vision Funds recorded a modest gain from a higher ByteDance valuation and that OpenAI produced no booked gain in the quarter.
  • SoftBank has taken on more debt to fund AI spending, securing a $10 billion bank loan backed by its OpenAI stake and relying on a $40 billion bridge facility that must be repaid or refinanced by March 2027.
  • Management has committed further large deployments including roughly $20 billion for OpenAI plus $5.4 billion to buy ABB’s robotics unit and $3.1 billion for DigitalBridge, and plans to start construction this year on a 10-gigawatt AI data-center campus in Ohio.
  • The group’s pattern of big, concentrated mark-to-market swings and the unusual use of a private-company stake as collateral raise the risk of margin calls, forced asset sales, or refinancing strain if OpenAI or other valuations move lower, making repayment of the bridge and the Ohio buildout key near-term milestones to watch.