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SoFi’s Strong Quarter Doesn’t Move Its 2026 Outlook, Knocking the Stock Lower

Investors read the steady 2026 targets as a warning after a slower Q2 outlook.

Overview

  • SoFi posted record first‑quarter revenue of about $1.08–$1.10 billion with adjusted earnings of $0.12, $12.2 billion in loan originations, and 35% member growth to 14.7 million.
  • Shares fell as much as 13% after management kept full‑year 2026 guidance unchanged at roughly $4.655 billion in adjusted revenue, $1.6 billion in adjusted EBITDA, and about $0.60 in adjusted EPS.
  • Second‑quarter guidance calls for about $1.115 billion in adjusted revenue, $330 million in adjusted EBITDA, and $0.10 to $0.11 in EPS, which implies growth near 30% versus 41% in Q1 and pressured a rich valuation.
  • The Technology Platform business, which includes Galileo’s banking‑as‑a‑service tools, fell 27% year over year to $75.1 million after the loss of major client Chime, and key fee lines missed analyst estimates.
  • Analysts were mixed, with 24/7 Wall St. issuing a Hold at a $18.97 target and Needham keeping a Buy while cutting its target to $25, signaling that further gains depend on SoFi delivering on guidance and stabilizing fee revenue.