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Slow‑Moving Storms Raise Flash‑Flood Threat and Spur Isolated Severe Weather Across Gulf Coast and Plains

A stalled, moisture‑rich pattern is producing localized intense rainfall that can inundate cities, with isolated hail, damaging winds and brief tornadoes possible.

Overview

  • Heavy, slow‑moving convective bands are producing very high local rain rates in Texas and the Lower Mississippi Valley that can cause flash and urban flooding in vulnerable spots.
  • Thunderstorms in the Texas Hill Country and the I‑35 corridor are producing 1.5–3+ inch‑per‑hour rates that may flood Austin, San Antonio and Waco because soils are already saturated.
  • Coastal Mississippi and Alabama are seeing back‑building Gulf streamers that can repeat rainfall over the same areas and produce rapid inundation near Mobile Bay and the I‑10 corridor.
  • A separate severe threat continues in the High Plains under Severe Thunderstorm Watch 238 and in pockets of the Plains where storms can produce large hail, damaging gusts and isolated tornadoes.
  • Forecasters say the setup combines a low‑level jet, strong moisture transport and a TROWAL (a corridor of warm, moisture‑rich air aloft) that slows storm motion and raises the risk of repeated heavy rainfall for hours and localized river and urban impacts.