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Sinner–Alcaraz No. 1 Race Tilts Toward Spring as Odds Back Sinner

Alcaraz carries a roughly 550-point lead into January, leaving Sinner's first real opening in the spring Masters.

Overview

  • The ATP standings restart with Alcaraz on 12,050 points to Sinner’s 11,550, a lead of about 550.
  • Sinner cannot reclaim No. 1 at the Australian Open because he defends 2,000 points from his 2025 title while Alcaraz defends 400.
  • Bookmakers now favor Sinner to finish 2026 as year-end No. 1, pricing him around 1.35 versus about 2.95 for Alcaraz.
  • Alcaraz has begun preseason work and set a clear target of winning the Australian Open, where he has never gone beyond the quarterfinals.
  • Sinner’s buildup includes training in Dubai with Simona Halep and a third straight ATP Fans’ Favourite award, as rival Francisco Cerundolo calls him virtually unbeatable on hard courts.