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Siena Poll Puts Hochul Far Ahead as ICE Fight Shapes New York Governor’s Race

Polling points to broad approval of her agenda alongside skepticism of ICE, signaling a favorable landscape.

Overview

  • Hochul leads Bruce Blakeman 54% to 28% statewide, and she holds a 64% to 11% advantage over Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado among Democrats.
  • Her favorability reaches a Siena high of 49% favorable to 40% unfavorable, a net seven-point improvement since December.
  • Roughly 62% of voters have no opinion of Blakeman, including a majority of Republicans, underscoring his limited name recognition.
  • Voters support several Hochul proposals by wide margins, including a tax break on the first $25,000 in tips and limits on immigration enforcement in schools, hospitals and places of worship.
  • Immigration has become an early flashpoint as Hochul moves to curb 287(g) agreements and Blakeman defends Nassau’s ICE partnership; Hochul says her new running mate has accepted but remains unannounced.