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ServiceNow Heads Into Earnings Test Over AI Growth and Margin Pressure

Investors are waiting to see if strong early AI adoption can translate into lasting subscription gains without squeezing profit margins.

Overview

  • ServiceNow will report second-quarter results after the market close on July 22, and investors are focused on subscription revenue, contracted revenue (cRPO), and non‑GAAP operating margin as signals of customer demand and profitability.
  • The Armis acquisition is expected to lower Q2 non‑GAAP operating margin by about 1.25 percentage points while adding roughly 1.25 points to guided cRPO growth, giving a near‑term test of deal economics.
  • ServiceNow said Now Assist customers spending over $1 million grew more than 130% in Q1 and it raised its 2026 AI ARR target to $1.5 billion, showing rapid large‑account adoption that must convert into recurring contracts.
  • Analysts are split on valuation and near‑term risk: CLSA opened coverage with an Underperform and $72 target based on conservative earnings multiples, while Oppenheimer and Guggenheim maintain bullish targets above $120.
  • The outcome will affect customer contract models and investor expectations because rising consumption pricing and higher model‑hosting costs could either prove scalable into bigger recurring deals or compress margins and valuations.