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ServiceNow Draws Fresh Target Hikes as Street Balances AI Ambition With Near-Term Risks

Analysts highlight a 2030 subscription goal of $30 billion tied to AI even as some investors question demand in large and federal deals.

Overview

  • Sell-side firms stayed constructive, with BMO and Evercore reaffirming positive calls and Bernstein lifting its target to a Street-high $236.
  • ServiceNow is promoting a long-range plan for $30 billion in subscription revenue by 2030 and a higher Rule of 40, a combined growth and margin metric, above 60.
  • Skeptics warn that any slowdown in large enterprise or U.S. federal contracts could weigh on growth and keep valuation in check.
  • Recent numbers showed about 22% year-over-year revenue growth to roughly $3.77 billion in the first quarter, with subscription guidance near $15.75 billion for fiscal 2026.
  • Flows were mixed, as institutions expanded positions even as insiders sold shares, and the company moved to raise $4 billion through a bond offering.