Overview
- Recent reporting highlights that U.S. stocks have often risen in May and June over the past decade, based on JPMorgan data cited by CNBC.
- IG’s review finds the S&P 500 averaged a 9.5% gain from May to October under President Trump versus 1.3% in non-Trump years across the past 20 years.
- By contrast, IG says the FTSE 100 has typically lost about 2% from May to October and gained 0.6% from November to April.
- Analysts caution that stepping out for the summer can backfire because rebounds often come in sharp bursts that are easy to miss.
- This year’s debate follows a weak first quarter and a strong April rebound for the S&P 500 that reports linked to an Iran ceasefire and robust AI earnings.