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Saylor Casts Bitcoin’s 45% Slide as Apple-Like ‘Valley of Despair’

The MicroStrategy chief argues regulated U.S. derivatives now temper swings, shaping a shallower cycle.

Overview

  • Bitcoin trades near $63,800, roughly 45% below its all-time high around $125,000, according to recent reporting.
  • Michael Saylor likens the decline to Apple’s 2013 slump, saying the current drawdown has lasted about 137 days and could take years to resolve.
  • He contends the shift of derivatives activity to regulated U.S. venues is compressing volatility and limiting drawdowns versus prior cycles.
  • On February 5, a rapid drop from about $70,000 to $60,000 produced an estimated $3.2 billion in entity-adjusted realized losses, Glassnode data show.
  • Saylor says banks’ reluctance to lend against bitcoin pushes some investors into shadow financing that can intensify selling during stress.