Overview
- Spending is set at 1.313 trillion riyals with revenues at 1.147 trillion, leaving a 165.4 billion riyal shortfall equal to roughly 3.3% of GDP.
- Finance Minister Mohammed Al Jadaan said the deficit is by design as the government continues targeted investment to accelerate diversification.
- The ministry projects 4.6% real GDP growth in 2026 and inflation easing to 2%, supported by stronger non-oil activity.
- Public debt is forecast to reach about 1.622 trillion riyals, or roughly 33% of GDP, as Riyadh keeps tapping debt markets given low leverage.
- The IMF welcomed the recalibration of Vision 2030 spending after the 2025 deficit widened and noted officials’ readiness to rephase or scale back some megaprojects to protect fiscal sustainability.