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Saudi Arabia Approves 2026 Budget With $350 Billion Spending and a Planned $44 Billion Deficit

Officials call the deficit a deliberate tool to fund Vision 2030 projects with returns exceeding borrowing costs.

Overview

  • Spending is set at 1.313 trillion riyals with revenues at 1.147 trillion, leaving a 165.4 billion riyal shortfall equal to roughly 3.3% of GDP.
  • Finance Minister Mohammed Al Jadaan said the deficit is by design as the government continues targeted investment to accelerate diversification.
  • The ministry projects 4.6% real GDP growth in 2026 and inflation easing to 2%, supported by stronger non-oil activity.
  • Public debt is forecast to reach about 1.622 trillion riyals, or roughly 33% of GDP, as Riyadh keeps tapping debt markets given low leverage.
  • The IMF welcomed the recalibration of Vision 2030 spending after the 2025 deficit widened and noted officials’ readiness to rephase or scale back some megaprojects to protect fiscal sustainability.