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Satellite Data Show Europe’s Freshwater Stores Shrinking, With South and East Hit Hardest

Using GRACE gravity signals, researchers tie the losses to shifting rainfall that weakens groundwater recharge.

Overview

  • UCL’s analysis of 2002–2024 GRACE data reports marked declines in terrestrial water storage from Spain and Italy through France, Germany and Poland to Romania and Ukraine.
  • Northern and northwestern Europe, including Scandinavia and parts of the UK, show gains in stored water, underscoring a widening regional split.
  • GRACE observations infer combined changes in rivers, lakes, reservoirs, soil moisture, groundwater and glaciers rather than direct point measurements.
  • The underlying datasets for the new analysis have not yet been published or peer-reviewed, though the pattern is consistent with earlier peer‑reviewed GRACE research.
  • Researchers warn of risks to farming, drinking supplies and ecosystems, noting EU figures that total withdrawals fell as groundwater use edged up to supply 62% of public water and a third of agricultural demand, and they urge conservation, reuse and network upgrades as large reservoirs face long lead times.