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Sanae Takaichi Wins LDP Leadership, Poised to Be Japan’s First Female Prime Minister

A mid-October parliamentary vote will gauge her path to power in a Diet where the ruling bloc lacks majorities.

Overview

  • Takaichi defeated Shinjiro Koizumi 185–156 in a runoff after leading the first round 183–164 in the five-candidate Liberal Democratic Party election.
  • In the runoff, LDP lawmakers narrowly backed Takaichi 149–145 and prefectural votes broke 36–11 in her favor, overcoming earlier signs that lawmakers leaned toward Koizumi.
  • The lower house is expected to vote around October 15 to choose the next prime minister, with Takaichi favored but not guaranteed because the LDP-led coalition lost its majorities in both chambers.
  • She is a conservative nationalist aligned with Shinzo Abe’s agenda, advocates aggressive state-led spending, has criticized recent Bank of Japan rate hikes, and has signaled she may seek changes to a U.S. investment deal.
  • Early priorities include rebuilding public trust after funding scandals and a cost-of-living squeeze, securing opposition cooperation to pass legislation, and preparing for a reported late-October meeting with President Donald Trump.