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San Jose Says Unsheltered Population Fell 32% After New Housing Push and Quarterly Data Model

City officials say the UrbanLogiq system will let them direct outreach faster to where it is needed most.

Overview

  • San Jose announced Thursday that its internal tracking shows a 32% drop in people living unsheltered over 18 months, from roughly 5,400 in February 2025 to about 3,700 in August 2026.
  • Officials credit the change to about 1,000 interim housing units, including quick-build tiny homes and converted motel rooms, plus targeted encampment removals and no-reencampment zones.
  • The city rolled out UrbanLogiq, an algorithmic model that combines 15 data sources from police, outreach teams and public works to produce quarterly estimates used for operational decisions.
  • Homeless advocates and some service providers say the model may understate needs, point to a reported rise in deaths and warn that temporary housing and cleanups do not replace long-term affordable housing or treatment.
  • San Jose says other large cities have asked about the model but the federal Point-in-Time count remains the funding benchmark, leaving uncertainty over how state and federal agencies will weigh the city’s estimates.