Overview
- Sam Altman said he was wrong to expect a near-term mass wave of office layoffs and described the feared scenario as not having materialized, noting that people still value human contact and that he sometimes abandoned AI responses for personal replies.
- Nobel economist Daron Acemoglu said AI has not shown the capacity to destroy employment massively and explained that many jobs contain varied tasks that current AI cannot reliably coordinate end to end.
- Recent empirical work from central researchers has found little sign so far of broad reductions in job openings in industries using AI, a result that helps explain the shift in tone among some tech leaders and economists.
- Consultancy and national studies warn of major change: BCG projects 50–55% of U.S. jobs will be reconfigured in two to three years with 10–15% possibly eliminated in four to five years, and Banamex estimates about 30% of Mexico’s formal posts face high automation risk.
- Companies including Meta, Amazon, HSBC and Cisco continue workforce reorganizations tied to AI, a trend that raises policy questions about how to protect workers, preserve entry-level paths and fund reskilling in countries with large informal labor markets like Mexico.