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Russian Satellites’ Three-Meter Pass Puts Focus on Risky Close-Approach Maneuvers

Experts warn the real risk is an opaque, dual‑use orbital environment.

Overview

  • COMSPOC, using LeoLabs radar data, confirmed two Russian KOSMOS satellites flew to within about three meters in low Earth orbit at roughly 28,000 km/h.
  • Analysts say the pair were launched together and likely ran a technology test, though the specific capability remains unclear.
  • Specialists warn a collision at that range and speed could create hundreds or thousands of fragments and threaten services like GPS, weather data, and communications.
  • Similar precision approaches have been documented for Chinese and U.S. spacecraft, yet commercial tracking makes Russian and Chinese maneuvers more visible than U.S. military activity.
  • Risk is rising as operators share little about maneuvers and as long‑lived junk accumulates, with LeoLabs citing more than 20 Chinese rocket bodies left in stable orbits and UN talks on norms moving slowly.