Overview
- RUSI’s analysis released on February 26 cautions that Russia may be able to intercept British and French nuclear strikes within about ten years.
- The study points to a layered defense centered on Moscow that includes the A-235 system, the S-500 and the space-oriented Nudol interceptor.
- Referencing reported 2024 U.S.-Israeli interception rates near 90% against large Iranian barrages, the report argues similar performance could blunt a modest European salvo.
- Britain’s smaller, sea-based arsenal is highlighted as vulnerable to effective defenses, including the risk of intercepting a Trident missile before it releases multiple warheads.
- The UK Ministry of Defence says the posture is under constant review, while London has announced over £400 million for long-range precision weapons including hypersonic missiles and has flagged closer nuclear cooperation with France.