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Rupee Falls to 95.45 per U.S. Dollar as Market Sentiment Turns Negative

Elevated Brent crude, a strong dollar, plus heavy foreign institutional equity selling are putting short-term downward pressure on the rupee and could raise India’s import bill.

Overview

  • The rupee weakened to about 95.45 per US dollar on Thursday after earlier intraweek trading around the mid-95s, marking a slide from a 95.33 close on Wednesday.
  • Traders cited higher Brent crude prices and the persistent USIran standoff threatening Strait of Hormuz shipments as immediate drivers of currency weakness.
  • An elevated dollar index near 100 and net foreign institutional investor equity outflows of Rs 1,002.50 crore on Wednesday amplified selling pressure on the rupee.
  • Market commentary noted the Reserve Bank of India has acted as a backstop in recent sessions but said that oil-driven import costs and a strong dollar remain the main near-term vulnerabilities.
  • By contrast, the Pakistani rupee showed only marginal day-to-day moves and India’s fiscal data — net direct tax mop-up rose about 23% to roughly Rs 8.11 lakh crore through August 10 — offers longer-run support though it has not yet offset external pressure.