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Royals Favored Over Twins as Models Lean Under in Series Finale

SportsLine’s 10,000-simulation forecast points to fewer than 10 runs.

Overview

  • The series wraps in Kansas City with Cole Ragans starting for the Royals against Twins right-hander Taj Bradley.
  • Sportsbooks list Kansas City at -158 on the money line with the over/under set at 9.5 runs.
  • SportsLine’s projection, based on 10,000 simulations, averages 8.5 total runs and backs the Under 9.5.
  • talkSPORT flags props including Cole Ragans over 6.5 strikeouts and the Twins team total under 4.5, citing Minnesota’s low contact rate and high strikeout rate.
  • Kansas City has won the first two games to move to 3-2, while Minnesota is 1-4 after three straight losses, a form trend reflected in the odds.