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Round of 16 Decides Quarter Paths as France and Morocco Advance and Brazil Meets Norway Today

France's win over Paraguay, Morocco's 3–0 victory over Canada, plus updated predictive models leave Brazil facing Norway on July 5 under heavy travel demands with tight odds.

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Overview

  • France overcame Paraguay on Saturday, July 4 to advance to the quarterfinals and Kylian Mbappé’s penalty tied him with Lionel Messi on seven tournament goals, setting a France–Morocco quarterfinal in Boston on July 9.
  • Morocco beat host Canada 3–0 on July 4 to reach the last eight and will meet France after both results reshaped that side of the bracket.
  • Brazil meets Norway at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford today, July 5 at 17:00 BRT with live coverage across Globo, SporTV, Cazé TV, SBT and streaming services.
  • UFMG’s Bola de Cristal model gives Brazil a slight edge over Norway (roughly mid-50s percent chance) while projecting France as a stronger favorite over Paraguay, and those probabilities are being updated after each match.
  • The three-country format has added long flights and altitude challenges that teams and coaches cite as competitive factors, and Brazil also faces historical hurdles because it has never beaten Norway in official meetings and has not eliminated a European side in World Cup knockout play since 2002.