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Robinhood Posts Record Quarter as Prediction Markets Overtake Crypto

Record Q2 shows Robinhood shifting revenue from crypto toward prediction markets, options, blockchain products, raising questions over durability as regulators assess risk.

Overview

  • Robinhood reported record second-quarter results on Wednesday with $1.31 billion in net revenue, $573 million in net income, and diluted EPS of $0.62, beating analyst expectations.
  • Transaction revenue rose to $776 million driven by options ($342 million), equities ($129 million) and event contracts, which generated $156 million from more than 13.6 billion contracts traded.
  • Cryptocurrency transaction revenue fell 38% year over year to $100 million on $40 billion of notional volume, split roughly $18 billion on the app and $22 billion through Bitstamp.
  • Results included a one-time $129 million gain tied to the deconsolidation of Robinhood Ventures Fund I and a narrowed 2026 adjusted expense outlook, and the stock slid modestly after hours as investors weighed earnings quality.
  • Robinhood pressed its crypto and infrastructure push by launching the Robinhood Chain mainnet on July 1, completing the WonderFi deal and scaling Rothera, but regulators and investors will watch whether event-contract volumes and chain activity prove durable and monetizable.