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Risk-Off Returns as Tech Slides, DAX Slips Below 24,000 and Bitcoin Falls Under $100,000

An information gap from the shutdown now clouds prospects for a near-term rate cut.

Overview

  • Germany’s DAX extended a late-week reversal to close around 23,876, erasing a push toward October’s record after an initial rally on the shutdown’s end.
  • Fed officials signaled caution on easing, and with key US data missing after the 43-day shutdown, CME odds for a December cut fell to about 53% from 94% a month earlier.
  • Wall Street’s tech-led selloff on Thursday gave way to a partial rebound Friday, with the Nasdaq turning positive intraday as the Dow lagged.
  • Bitcoin dropped to roughly $96,900, the lowest since May, as reports highlighted about $2.8 billion in spot-ETF outflows and investors shifted to a risk-off stance.
  • Oil prices ticked higher by roughly 1.6% after a reported Ukrainian drone strike on an oil depot in Russia’s Black Sea port of Novorossiysk.