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Researcher Wins 1 BTC Prize for First Public 15-Bit Quantum Break of Elliptic-Curve Crypto

The result signals faster real-world progress toward quantum attacks, sharpening pressure to move core crypto systems to post-quantum defenses.

Overview

  • Project Eleven awarded its Q-Day Prize of 1 Bitcoin to Giancarlo Lelli for deriving a private key from a public key on a 15-bit elliptic curve using a public quantum computer.
  • The attack used a variant of Shor’s algorithm on a device with about 70 qubits and, once built, finished in minutes, according to the organizers.
  • It is the largest public quantum crack of elliptic-curve cryptography to date, expanding from a 6-bit demo in 2025 to 15 bits in a 512-fold jump.
  • Recent papers lowered estimates for breaking 256-bit keys to under 500,000 physical qubits in general designs and to roughly 10,000 to 20,000 in neutral-atom systems.
  • About 6.9 million Bitcoin sit in addresses that already reveal public keys, and developers are drafting post-quantum upgrades while Project Eleven prepares a follow-on challenge that tests how AI could speed quantum error correction and target selection.