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Report Warns CPS Enrollment Decline Could Become a Crisis Without an Adaptation Plan

The nonprofit says the danger stems from the district’s lack of a clear strategy to preserve student opportunities in a smaller system.

Overview

  • CPS enrolls just over 316,000 students, down nearly 28% since 2002-03, according to Kids First Chicago.
  • Shrinking cohorts are driven by fewer births and fewer school-aged children in the city, with about 20,000 kindergarteners this year, a 27% drop from a decade ago.
  • Losses are concentrated on the West and South Sides, including nearly 7,000 fewer students in the McKinley Park network and about 6,000 in Belmont Cragin-Austin since 2015-16, while many North and central areas stayed steadier.
  • Latino enrollment has fallen by nearly 7,000 and Black enrollment by about 2,900, though together they still account for 81% of CPS students; English learner counts recently dipped to just over 86,000 after a peak.
  • An influx of roughly 9,000 migrant students that briefly offset declines has leveled off, and the report says shrinking schools face higher per-student costs and fewer offerings, urging redesign over closures given a $10 billion budget and a projected $500 million deficit.