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Report Says Iran War Depleted Key U.S. Missiles, Creating Short-Term Risk

Pentagon-aligned estimates say rebuilding the arsenal will take years.

Overview

  • CSIS, in a report published Tuesday, estimates the U.S. used about 45% of Precision Strike Missiles, at least half of THAAD air defense interceptors, and nearly 50% of Patriot interceptors during seven weeks of strikes on Iran.
  • The study and sources familiar with Pentagon data say remaining stocks can support continued Iran operations but would likely fall short against a near-peer power such as China.
  • Analysts also count roughly 30% of Tomahawks, more than 20% of JASSMs, and about 20% of SM-3 and SM-6 missiles expended, signaling broad pressure across long-range and air defense inventories.
  • The Pentagon has signed production-expansion deals with major contractors, yet experts forecast roughly three to five years to restore prewar levels for many of these missiles.
  • Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell says the force can execute missions now, as CENTCOM notes it is rearming during the ceasefire, while experts warn of a vulnerability window in the western Pacific and strain on support to allies that field Patriot-class defenses.