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5d ago

Reform Members Overwhelmingly Back Post‑Election Deal With Conservatives

The poll result signals strong member readiness to govern, raising pressure on the Conservatives over how they would respond to post-election bargaining.

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A man in a suit smiling and gesturing at the camera, while a group of people behind him hold signs in support of Reform UK.

Overview

  • A Lord Ashcroft poll of 850 Reform UK members published June 12–13 found 90% want the party to form a coalition or do a deal with the Conservatives if Reform wins the most seats but lacks a majority.
  • Nearly half of members (48%) expect an overall Reform majority and a further 45% expect a Reform‑Conservative coalition, reflecting deep confidence that the party will be in government after the next election.
  • Large majorities (about 89–91%) say the political establishment and Whitehall will try to block Reform from taking office or implementing its policies, a belief that sharpens members’ appetite for formal deals.
  • The poll identifies Zia Yusuf as the leading preferred successor to Nigel Farage (22%), shows worries that the party is seen as ‘nasty or racist’ and flags vote transfers with members saying they would back Restore Britain (≈42%) or the Conservatives (≈33%) where Reform did not stand.
  • Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch has ruled out pre‑election pacts, which means any cooperation would likely be negotiated after the vote and could shape government formation under the UK’s first‑past‑the‑post system.