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Ray Dalio Revives Bitcoin Safe-Haven Debate, Citing Traceable Ledger and Stock Correlation

His critique questions Bitcoin’s fit as a central‑bank reserve because open transactions expose holdings in real time.

Overview

  • Dalio, who posted on X on Monday, May 11, said Bitcoin lacks privacy because transactions on its public ledger can be monitored and potentially controlled, which he argues keeps central banks from holding it.
  • He added that Bitcoin often moves with big tech shares, pointing to TradingView data showing a recent 90‑day correlation near 0.89 with the Nasdaq, a pattern that undercuts claims it holds up independently during market stress.
  • Dalio also called Bitcoin’s market smaller and easier to influence than gold, which he described as more widely held and still central to the global financial system.
  • Michael Saylor countered that Bitcoin’s transparency is a feature because anyone can verify holdings, calling it usable as global collateral and noting the asset has outperformed gold since his firm adopted a Bitcoin standard in 2020.
  • Coverage highlighted rising interest in privacy coins such as Zcash, which has surged since early 2025, and noted that even with steps like a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve in 2025, central‑bank exposure remains limited, with Bitwise’s Matt Hougan framing Dalio’s concerns as an investment opportunity.