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Rapid Warm-Up Begins as Midweek Front Raises Severe-Storm Risk

Forecasters warn the front’s timing will decide who heats up most before storms form.

Overview

  • Across the region Monday, temperatures jump into the 60s under a gusty southwest wind, then surge to the upper 70s to near 80 on Tuesday.
  • The Storm Prediction Center flags a marginal to slight severe risk from late Tuesday into Wednesday in parts of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, with threats that include damaging wind, large hail, heavy rain and a low tornado chance.
  • A strong cold front expected Wednesday will flip the pattern, bringing showers and thunderstorms followed by a sharp cooldown into the 40s and 50s late week.
  • Forecast confidence hinges on when the front arrives because an earlier passage would cap highs and limit storm intensity while a later one would allow more heating and stronger storms.
  • Northern New England and higher terrain may see brief wintry mix or mountain snow after the front as many lower-elevation areas settle into a wetter, unsettled stretch into the weekend.