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Radev Secures Bulgaria’s First Single-Party Majority in Decades

Analysts expect cooler Ukraine policy under EU-NATO constraints.

Overview

  • Progressive Bulgaria, which won about 45% of the vote on Sunday, secured roughly 130 of 240 seats to govern alone.
  • Rumen Radev is set to become prime minister on an anti-corruption pledge after five years that saw eight national elections.
  • He opposes sending Bulgarian weapons to Ukraine but has signaled he will not block EU support.
  • Some experts expect Bulgarian ammunition supplies to Ukraine to dry up and see scope for warmer energy ties with Russia.
  • Others argue EU rules, NATO commitments and reliance on EU funds will cap any shift, with German Marshall Fund analysts predicting a cooling rather than a break.