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Public Trust in Trump on Immigration Plummets as ICE Favorability Collapses

New polls show steep declines in support driven by recent ICE enforcement incidents that have shifted independent voters' views.

Overview

  • Pew polling reported that trust in President Trump’s handling of immigration has fallen to 41 percent while distrust sits at 58 percent.
  • Separate Pew and Mulaw figures show ICE’s net favorability has dropped to minus 20 among all voters and minus 42 among independents.
  • Recent enforcement incidents, including the fatal shooting of Joan Sebastian Guerrero in Maine and an earlier killing in Houston, are cited by analysts as a central cause of the public reaction.
  • CNN analyst Harry Enten said the shifts mean Trump has lost a long-standing political advantage on immigration and that independents are driving much of the change in public opinion.
  • The drop in trust and agency favorability could reshape political messaging and voter dynamics, so analysts say observers should watch independent voter polls and any federal reviews of ICE operations.