Overview
- Nearly 11 million citizens, including about 1.6 million abroad, are eligible to vote in the January 18 first round.
- Surveys consistently put Chega leader André Ventura in first place but below a majority, indicating the first runoff since 1986.
- The prospective opponent remains uncertain, with António José Seguro, Luís Marques Mendes, Henrique Gouveia e Melo, and João Cotrim Figueiredo all cited as plausible finalists.
- A record 11 candidates and daily tracking polls have splintered support, especially on the non-socialist right, making a first-round majority unlikely.
- Though largely ceremonial, the presidency can appoint the prime minister, veto bills, and dissolve parliament, a role that matters for a PSD minority government that relies on Chega for parts of its agenda.