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Polymarket’s Elon Musk Tweet Market Sees Heavy Trading, Sharp Odds Swings

The fast-moving contract turns a week of Musk’s X posts into an objective count that traders price in real time.

Overview

  • Polymarket is running a contract on how many times Elon Musk will post on X between May 5 and May 12, counting main‑feed posts, quote posts and reposts while excluding replies.
  • The market has logged $1.5 million in 24‑hour trading and $7.2 million in liquidity, according to Polymarket figures cited by StartupHub.ai.
  • Catcher Predict reported the 100–119 bucket’s YES odds moving 18.65 percentage points within an hour as traders adjusted to his posting pace.
  • Bots and AI agents scrape Musk’s feed and trade as posts appear, turning his timeline into a live source of on‑chain volatility.
  • Coverage from crypto.news and a MetaMask overview presents these tweet markets as part of a shift to always‑on probability feeds, while other Polymarket events such as NBA games show multi‑million‑dollar daily activity that signals broad platform demand.