Overview
- Polymarket is negotiating a $400 million round at about a $15 billion valuation, according to The Information's report Sunday, which the company has not confirmed.
- Intercontinental Exchange, which invested $600 million in March under an agreement that could reach $2 billion, is anchoring the effort as Polymarket seeks strategic investors that could take the total near $1 billion.
- Rival Kalshi raised about $1 billion in March at a $22 billion valuation, highlighting a fast‑moving race as monthly prediction‑market volumes topped $20 billion by January 2026, according to TRM Labs.
- Regulatory risks are mounting in the U.S., with Nevada blocking Kalshi’s operations in the state, Arizona filing criminal charges over alleged unlicensed gambling, and a federal bill seeking to bar sports‑style contracts on registered platforms.
- Fortune reports Polymarket is preparing a crypto token and airdrop, a move that could lift activity but may blur how much trading reflects organic demand versus incentive‑seeking behavior.