Overview
- Polymarket, a platform where people trade contracts on real‑world events, is negotiating a $400 million round reported Sunday that could value it near $15 billion, with total proceeds possibly approaching $1 billion if more strategic backers join.
- The effort builds on Intercontinental Exchange’s $600 million investment in late March that set a $9 billion post‑money valuation.
- Rival Kalshi raised over $1 billion in March at a $22 billion valuation, as prediction‑market volumes grew from about $1.2 billion in early 2025 to more than $20 billion by January 2026, according to TRM Labs.
- Regulatory pressure is rising, with a Senate bill seeking to block sports and casino‑style contracts on registered platforms and a Nevada court fight that has limited Kalshi’s operations in the state.
- Polymarket has signaled a crypto‑first path, with Fortune reporting plans for its own blockchain and a token airdrop that could fund growth and reward users while it works to expand in the U.S.