Overview
- CNN’s Harry Enten highlighted four national surveys setting new second‑term lows for the president’s net approval, ranging from −19 to −26 points (AP‑NORC −26, NBC −22, Yahoo/YouGov −20, Quinnipiac −19).
- Nate Silver’s aggregation places approval at 40.5% and disapproval at 55.5% (net −15), lower than Trump’s standing at this point in his first term and below Joe Biden’s at a comparable stage.
- State‑level Civiqs data through Feb. 14 shows Trump underwater in 32 states with an overall net −18 (39% approve, 57% disapprove), peaking in West Virginia (+25) and bottoming out in Hawaii (−58).
- Quinnipiac polling shows independents at roughly 27 points underwater for Trump, while an Economist/YouGov survey found only 25% approval among 18‑ to 29‑year‑olds.
- GOP pollster Whit Ayres warns that sustained low approval and perceptions of administrative volatility could mean significant Republican losses in November, as the White House disputes the polling narrative.