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Polls Show Trump at Record Lows on Cost of Living as Independents Break Away

Analysts link the slide to rising fuel costs tied to the Iran conflict.

Overview

  • A Yahoo/YouGov survey conducted March 12–16 (n=1,699; MOE ≈±3.1%) finds Trump 41 points underwater on the cost of living, a series low, with independents near −60.
  • CNN’s Harry Enten says independents have swung roughly 71 points against Trump on prices since October 2024, warning of a potential midterm “political nightmare” for Republicans.
  • The same poll shows net −29 on the economy, 26% approval vs. 67% disapproval on cost of living, a −39 net on gas prices, and overall job approval at 38% with 59% disapproval.
  • A Daily Mail/JL Partners poll puts approval at 42% and ties rising disapproval chiefly to the Iran war (28%) and inflation (44%) as average gas prices approach $3.90 per gallon.
  • Newsweek reports a −43 net job approval among independents in the Yahoo/YouGov series, as the White House downplays polling and points to strong backing within the MAGA base.