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Polling Reveals Strains in GOP Backing for Trump’s Iran Strikes

Rising gas prices, paired with vocal MAGA dissent, signal potential erosion if costs climb.

Independent voters will play a mjaor role in deciding if President Trump's Republican Party maintains control of Congress

Overview

  • New POLITICO/Public First polling shows 70% of Trump’s 2024 voters support the strikes, with backing at 81% among self-identified MAGA voters versus 61% among non-MAGA Trump voters.
  • Separate surveys quantify dissent inside the GOP: Reuters-Ipsos finds 21% of Republicans disapprove, while Yahoo News–YouGov reports 24% of 2024 Trump voters disapprove and only about half strongly support his handling.
  • Cost sensitivity is pronounced as a Strength in Numbers–Verasight poll shows GOP opposition rising from 24% to 31% if gas rises by $1, and prices have already climbed roughly $1 since the war began.
  • Fault lines on the right are increasingly visible with criticism from Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Marjorie Taylor Greene and Joe Rogan, along with the resignation of National Counterterrorism Center director Joe Kent.
  • The White House says Operation Epic Fury seeks to deny Iran a nuclear weapon, even as concerns over casualties, exit strategy and the conflict’s length weigh more heavily on non-MAGA Republicans.