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Poll Shows Democrats Now Favored on Economy as Trump Approval Falls

Rising gasoline prices tied to U.S.-Israeli strikes in Iran have strained household budgets, signaling possible changes to midterm dynamics.

Overview

  • A Reuters/Ipsos online survey of 4,505 U.S. adults found Americans now pick Democrats over Republicans as better economic stewards for the first time in nearly a decade and showed President Trump’s approval at 35 percent.
  • The poll, conducted July 30–Aug. 3, reported 42 percent of registered voters would back a Democrat for Congress and 37 percent a Republican, with independents favoring Democrats by 12 points and a margin of error of ±2 percentage points.
  • Analysts link the shift in economic perception to a more than 25 percent rise in gasoline prices since February, which has raised the average pump cost by over one dollar per gallon and squeezed household budgets.
  • President Trump dismissed the poll on Truth Social before its release, calling mainstream polling 'made up' and promoting his own 'REAL Polling Numbers.'
  • Despite the national tilt, experts warn seat-level outcomes could differ because Democratic voters are geographically concentrated and redistricting plus the small number of competitive House and Senate seats may limit actual Democratic gains.