Overview
- A Politico poll reported July 24 found 46% of voters say gas prices will affect their vote and nearly 40% of that group are considering voting for a different party.
- The same survey showed 49% of MAGA Republicans and 57% of non‑MAGA Republicans in that impacted group are open to crossing party lines.
- Most respondents blamed the president's action in Iran for energy swings, with 59% of Trump voters and 63% of all Americans citing the conflict as the cause.
- Gas is materially costlier than a year earlier, with the national average at $4.10 on July 24 versus $3.14 in 2025, though many people overestimate how much local prices rose and no ZIP code has seen a $3 average jump.
- Analysts say price spikes have been concentrated in 13 competitive House districts and Democrats are using the issue in campaign messaging while Republicans argue the short‑term costs serve longer security goals.