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Poll Narrows New York Governor’s Race as Hochul and Blakeman Clash

A co/efficient survey showing a six-point lead for Gov. Kathy Hochul raises questions about poll reliability and sharpens attacks over taxes, utilities and public safety.

Overview

  • The co/efficient poll, commissioned by the Coalition to Protect Nassau Taxpayers, puts Hochul at 47 percent and Bruce Blakeman at 41 percent with 12 percent undecided, narrowing the race to six points.
  • Co/efficient’s reputation rests on accurately forecasting the closeness of the 2022 governor’s contest, a fact supporters cite when contrasting this result with other polls that show much larger Hochul leads.
  • Hochul responded to the survey with on-the-ground campaigning in Long Island, announcing a $100 million law-enforcement technology grant and signing legislation to let the MTA buy a former airfield to protect a local trail.
  • Blakeman’s campaign tied Hochul to rising taxes and utility bills and promised steep income tax and utility cuts, while the poll also found 55 percent of voters say they are concerned about socialism and only 32 percent view Hochul favorably.
  • The new results have intensified campaigning and raised practical stakes for both sides because a tighter margin could change resource decisions, message focus and where each campaign deploys staff and ads.