Overview
- Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts extremely low chances of seeing the Muharram crescent on the evening of June 15 based on astronomical calculations.
- The department says the new moon will be born at 7:54 a.m., which makes the crescent too young, thin, and close to the horizon for most observers to spot.
- Province-level moonset times provided by the Met Office show only a short interval after sunset across regions, for example moonset times cluster roughly between about 7:59 p.m. and 8:34 p.m.
- Weather is expected to be clear or partly cloudy in many areas but meteorologists say sky conditions cannot overcome the short sunset-to-moonset window that prevents reliable sighting.
- Final determination of Muharram’s start rests with the Central Ruet-e-Hilal Committee, which will review any sighting testimonies; communities and officials will wait for that announcement and related local arrangements.