Overview
- The Pakistan Meteorological Department said the first monsoon system is expected to hit northeastern Pakistan, including Punjab and Kashmir, from July 1 while Sindh is unlikely to see monsoon rains before July 5.
- PMD warned that several parts of Sindh, including Karachi, are likely to record below-normal seasonal rainfall despite local variations in totals.
- Observed conditions give cause for concern: PMD data show Sindh received just 0.3 mm of rain in May, about 91% below its 1991–2020 normal, and mean temperatures ran about 1.0°C above normal.
- A developing low over the Bay of Bengal could still push moisture inland and produce isolated heavy downpours that may trigger urban flooding in poorly drained or low-lying areas.
- Forecasters say the outlook is probabilistic and developing so people should prepare for heat-related health risks and keep an eye on local warnings for sudden heavy rain and urban flood guidance.