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Pete Crow‑Armstrong Edges Shohei Ohtani as NL MVP Favorite

Crow‑Armstrong’s all‑around production and elite defensive metrics have reshaped how bettors and analysts value candidates.

Overview

  • DraftKings odds moved in favor of Pete Crow‑Armstrong, with multiple sportsbooks listing him as the NL MVP favorite over Shohei Ohtani as betting lines shifted this week.
  • Crow‑Armstrong leads MLB in WAR and is on pace for another 30‑home run, 30‑steal season, a combination that has driven his rise in the MVP conversation.
  • Statcast ranks Crow‑Armstrong atop Outs Above Average and the Cubs have publicized team OAA totals that put Chicago on pace to challenge the single‑season record for defensive outs.
  • Ohtani has remained off the Dodgers’ pitching mound since July 3 because of knee soreness after an 8–2, 1.79 ERA start to the season, though some reports note he has resumed pitching practice and his return would materially change the race.
  • With fewer than 50 regular‑season games left, voters must balance Crow‑Armstrong’s defensive and baserunning value against Ohtani’s unique two‑way production and health, a choice that will decide both ballots and late betting market moves.