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6mo ago

Pentagon Draft Flags 100+ Chinese ICBMs in New Silos and Accelerating Nuclear Buildup

Beijing rejects the leaked assessment as defamatory as U.S. officials emphasize the findings remain provisional.

Chinesische Hyperschallraketen bei der Militärparade in Peking Anfang September.
Image
Eine chinesische Interkontinentalrakete des Bautypen Dongfeng.

Overview

  • A draft Pentagon assessment reported to Reuters says China has likely stationed more than 100 DF-31 intercontinental missiles in silo fields at three bases near the Mongolian border.
  • The draft estimates China had roughly 600 nuclear warheads last year and is on a trajectory to exceed 1,000 by 2030.
  • The assessment asserts China expects to be able to fight and win a war over Taiwan by the end of 2027 and is refining options for a forcible takeover.
  • According to the draft, the People’s Liberation Army could carry out far-reaching strikes up to about 2,000 nautical miles from China’s coast in a Taiwan contingency.
  • The report states Beijing shows no willingness to pursue arms-control talks, and parallel U.S. signals include President Trump’s plan for a Minuteman-III test.