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Peggy Flanagan Projected to Win Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary

The projected outcome gives Democrats a progressive nominee who, if elected, would become the first Native American woman in the U.S. Senate.

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Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate, Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, speaks during a volunteer appreciation event at Black Heart of Saint Paul on August 8, 2026 in St. Paul, Minnesota. Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig (D-MN) are both vying for the Democratic endorsement in next Tuesday's primary election.
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Overview

  • Major outlets projected Flanagan the winner on Wednesday after early returns and Decision Desk HQ updates showed her leading Rep. Angie Craig in the DFL primary.
  • Flanagan consolidated party backing with the state DFL endorsement and high-profile progressive endorsements from Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren while Craig declined the convention process and outraised Flanagan in fundraising.
  • Prediction markets priced Flanagan as the favorite but showed volatility, with reported odds near 71.5% after moving from higher levels the prior week, reflecting shifting confidence in late returns.
  • Flanagan will face Republican Michele Tafoya in the November general election, a race national Republicans see as potentially competitive because of recent GOP gains in the state.
  • The primary served as a test of the Democratic party’s direction, split over issues like immigration enforcement and state fraud investigations, and now turns to the challenge of uniting voters for the fall campaign.